Year-end sales predictions

[boffo]

videogaming247 » Blog Archive » Pachter: 16.3 million PS3s and 21.3 million 360s in US and Europe by year-end

Speaking to videogaming247, Wedbush Morgan’s Michael Pachter has predicted year-end console sales figures that will serve as a sobering reminder to Microsoft that Xbox 360 sales appear to be slowing.
“We expect Sony to have an installed base of 16.3 million PS3s by year end, and Microsoft to have an installed base of 21.3 million Xbox 360s (both figures are U.S. and Europe only, not counting Japan),” he said.
The news comes following a European price cut for 360 over Easter and what appears to be a now-ended surge for the machine in the UK, matched ably by an uncut PS3.
Analysts have now called for a 360 drop in the US as an effort to hold back PS3’s tide.
Last confirmed global sales figures for Xbox 360 were 17.7 million in January. Sony hasn’t yet released global figures for PS3 sales, but the machine was estimated at 10.5 million globally in February, with the firm aiming for a target of 11 million by the end of March.

Probably a lot early for these kind of predictions to be made, but it's something to discuss.

[E6600]

Seems a reasonable guesstimate to me It'll take time before the PS3 passes the X360 in sales

[rounds1]

I find this comment interesting:

that will serve as a sobering reminder to Microsoft that Xbox 360 sales appear to be slowing.

As by his estimation, PS3 sales will also have slowed this year...and that's considering this is the first full year it's out in the UK.

MCV also posted some predictions for the year:

Wii to outsell 360 and PS3 combined - news - www.mcvuk.com

A bit different from Pachter's...

[codenamelenny]

I think PS3 will catch up to 360 by the end of the year.

[Chibi Kitsune]

Wii to be at 30+mill.

[dz06lt]

wii obvioulsy will continue to dominate i think the ps3 will make the move worldwide into 2nd

[t0mmyb0y1983]

I could see PS3 passin or catching up to 360

[Chibi Kitsune]

that should be in you other sig as well

[PirateThom]

I think the only thing that will stop PS3 going into second place is America. Although it's been outselling the 360 since January, Microsoft have had "stock problems" for some bizarre reason.

That said, I think because of Europe, PS3 will close the gap something shocking if GT5P was any indication.

[Dutch guy]

360 can be easily saved with a price reduction, I don't know why Microsoft doesn't do that.

360 owners buy a pretty big amount of games, and they download lots of online games, so I don't get why the price can't be dropped by fifty.